A quick glimpse at the social media accounts of any Alberta New Democrat, even the Edmontonians, will reveal a major presence in the city. The NDP knows this, and is tackling it head on. Unquestionably, the next election will be determined by who can win the most seats in Calgary, with Edmonton a lock for the NDP and the rest of Alberta tilted in the UCP's favour.
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Meanwhile, the NDP will be taking full advantage of a clear runway to continue growing their pre-election ground game and, most importantly, their campaign for Calgary. The UCP leadership race means its MLAs and operatives will have to spend much of their summer working on their preferred candidate's campaign. But as much as last year failed to bring the best summer ever for the UCP, 2022 could be the best summer for Notley and her party. Jason Kenney infamously removed nearly all COVID-19 measures in time for last summer's circuit, hoping he would be able to schmooze his way back into popularity after steadily declining poll numbers. 'Tis the season of barbecues, Pride parades, fundraisers, and not least of all, the Calgary Stampede. Unencumbered by legislature sittings, MLAs are released to their home ridings where they can talk to constituents, community leaders, and stakeholders to make and re-make important connections. Kenney's prolonged departure and a potentially months-long race to replace him means the UCP is sidelining itself during one of the most productive seasons for politics - summer.įor most politicians, summer is a buffet of opportunity. The opportunity for Notley's party to fill in this gap is more immediate. If nature abhors a vacuum, so does politics.
But a leaderless United Conservative Party creates big unknowns for the NDP's strategic calculus. WGHQ Kingston, NY at 920 AM: Monday – Friday 9-10 am & 1-2 pm.This column is an opinion by campaign strategist Leah Ward, a former aide to Alberta NDP leader Rachel Notley. For more information about CBC's Opinion section, please see the FAQ.Īlberta Premier Jason Kenney's political demise leaves a big opening for NDP Leader Rachel Notley.
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